Chamo a atenção para esta notícia. Isabel Arriaga e Cunha* é de longe a mais competente e a mais bem informada dos jornalistas portugueses em Bruxelas. De longe.
* Foi ela, por exemplo, que, através do Público, informou Portugal do segredo da contratação de Barroso para a Comissão Europeia.
* Foi ela, por exemplo, que, através do Público, informou Portugal do segredo da contratação de Barroso para a Comissão Europeia.
4 comentários:
O poltrão Barroso, esse cobardolas? Um tipo que nem conseguiu governar isto e vai para Bruxelas.
É muito bem-feito que o Sarkozy tenha gritado com ele. Merece. Actuação incompetente e indigna, como alguém afirmou com toda a razão.
Il faut pas sortir de Saint-Cyr, como dizem os franceses. Ontem à noite li isto, que já tinha sido publicado no dia 13 (às 10 da noite da Califórnia):
"My guess is if Ireland accepts aid, then Ireland's bonds will rally (and the yield will fall sharply) - however this will probably lead to a "buyers strike" for Portugal's bonds. And then Portugal will have to ask for aid. Then Spain and / or Italy would be next in line ... and I think that is the real concern."
http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/11/reports-ireland-bailout-talks-continue.html
A UE tenta desesperadamente preservar do contágio Espanha (e a seguir Itália), portanto está fora de questão deixar Portugal a fazer de rastilho. Mas não é certo que funcione. O caro Ambrósio dizia a 3 de Novembro:
"...Any need for an Irish bail-out will put Portugal in instant jeopardy, as is already obvious from the latest surge in Portuguese yields.
The EFSF would face the risk of two simultaneous bail-outs from a diminishing number of donors. Contagion would spread instantly to Spain.
On balance, Spain looks strong enough to resist such an ordeal by fire. But don’t bank on it. The economy has not yet stabilized. Unemployment rose again in October for the third month to 4.1m. Car sales fell 38pc. The car association ANFAC said there will have to be a cut in auto production levels unless the car market recovers. The knife is nearing the bone here.
In theory the EFSF could handle a triple rescue for Ireland, Portugal, and Spain. I find it hard to believe that this could possibly work in practice. The rescue fund itself would surely be stripped of its AAA rating unless Germany, France and the residual core put up fresh collateral, which would lead to a political storm in Germany.
Italy would find itself having to raise large sums to meet is share of rescue costs, bringing its public debt back into focus.
A triple bail-out is not credible.
..."
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ambroseevans-pritchard/100008461/ireland-is-running-out-of-time/
Bem sei que ele espera a queda do Euro desde sempre, mas...
IsabelPS
Il faut pas sortir de Saint-Cyr, como dizem os franceses. Ontem à noite li isto, que já tinha sido publicado no dia 13 (às 10 da noite da Califórnia):
"My guess is if Ireland accepts aid, then Ireland's bonds will rally (and the yield will fall sharply) - however this will probably lead to a "buyers strike" for Portugal's bonds. And then Portugal will have to ask for aid. Then Spain and / or Italy would be next in line ... and I think that is the real concern."
http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/11/reports-ireland-bailout-talks-continue.html
A UE tenta desesperadamente preservar do contágio Espanha (e a seguir Itália), portanto está fora de questão deixar Portugal a fazer de rastilho. Mas não é certo que funcione. O caro Ambrósio dizia a 3 de Novembro:
"...Any need for an Irish bail-out will put Portugal in instant jeopardy, as is already obvious from the latest surge in Portuguese yields.
The EFSF would face the risk of two simultaneous bail-outs from a diminishing number of donors. Contagion would spread instantly to Spain.
On balance, Spain looks strong enough to resist such an ordeal by fire. But don’t bank on it. The economy has not yet stabilized. Unemployment rose again in October for the third month to 4.1m. Car sales fell 38pc. The car association ANFAC said there will have to be a cut in auto production levels unless the car market recovers. The knife is nearing the bone here.
...
A triple bail-out is not credible.
..."
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ambroseevans-pritchard/100008461/ireland-is-running-out-of-time/
Bem sei que ele espera a queda do Euro desde sempre, mas...
IsabelPS
A Europa precisa de ter defices 0(Zero)
É isso que ainda ninguém excepto os alemães entendeu.
lucklucky
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